Game: Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays
Date & Time: Sunday, October 19, 8:03 PM EST
Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Moneyline Odds: Mariners +105 | Blue Jays -127
A trip to the World Series is on the line as the Seattle Mariners travel to the Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays for a do-or-die Game 6 of the American League Championship Series. With the series hanging in the balance, Toronto will try to clinch the pennant in front of their home crowd, while Seattle aims to force a decisive Game 7.
Pitching Matchup: Logan Gilbert vs. Trey Yesavage
The Seattle Mariners will hand the ball to one of their most reliable arms, right-hander Logan Gilbert. Known for his power stuff and command, Gilbert has been a stalwart in the Mariners’ rotation and will be tasked with silencing the Toronto bats in a hostile environment to keep his team’s championship hopes alive.
The Toronto Blue Jays will counter with rookie right-hander Trey Yesavage. Thrust into the most important start of his young career, Yesavage will face immense pressure on the ALCS stage. The Blue Jays are betting on his electric arm to overcome his lack of postseason experience and send them to the World Series.
Analysis & Key Storylines
The Blue Jays enter this critical game as slight home favorites (-127), but they are far from full strength. The biggest storyline heading into Game 6 is the massive hole in Toronto’s lineup. According to recent reports, superstar shortstop Bo Bichette will not play in the ALCS due to persistent knee pain. His absence has been a significant blow to the Blue Jays’ offense, removing a key run producer from the heart of their order. Facing a tough pitcher like Gilbert without one of their best hitters will be Toronto’s greatest challenge.
For the Seattle Mariners, this is a golden opportunity. While Toronto is dealing with a franchise-altering injury, the Mariners appear to be the healthier club heading into this matchup. With Gilbert on the mound and their lineup intact, they have a clear path to pushing this series to the brink. As road underdogs at +105, the Mariners present significant value for bettors who believe their pitching advantage and healthier roster can overcome the atmosphere at the Rogers Centre.
Prediction
While home-field advantage in a playoff game is a powerful force, the absence of Bo Bichette is too significant to ignore. The Blue Jays’ lineup is simply not the same without him. This puts an extraordinary amount of pressure on rookie pitcher Trey Yesavage to be nearly perfect.
Logan Gilbert has the experience and the stuff to dominate a depleted lineup. Look for the Mariners to capitalize on their opponent’s misfortune, quiet the Toronto crowd, and extend their season by one more day. The value is with the road underdogs.
The Pick: Seattle Mariners Moneyline (+105)
Sources:
Seattle Mariners Injury Status – ESPN
Seattle Mariners Injury Report and Status 2025 – CBS Sports
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