Date: Tuesday, October 7, 2025
Time: 8:08 PM EST
Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
TV: FS1
With their season on the line, the New York Yankees return home to face the red-hot Toronto Blue Jays in a do-or-die Game 3 of the American League Division Series. The Blue Jays, holding a commanding 2-0 series lead, will look to complete the sweep and advance to the ALCS.
Pitching Matchup:
- Toronto Blue Jays: Shane Bieber, RHP
- New York Yankees: Carlos Rodón, LHP
- Toronto Blue Jays: +133
- New York Yankees: -163
Series at a Glance
The Toronto Blue Jays have stormed out of the gates in this ALDS, dominating the Yankees in every facet of the game. After taking the first two games in Toronto, the Blue Jays’ offense has been the story of the series, putting up a staggering 23 runs. The exclamation point came in Game 2, a 13-7 thrashing where their lineup overwhelmed New York’s pitching staff. Now, they are one win away from eliminating their division rival.
For the Yankees, the situation is dire. After a season spent navigating major injuries, including the loss of ace Gerrit Cole to season-ending Tommy John surgery, they find themselves on the brink of elimination. Returning to the Bronx for Game 3, the pressure is immense as they fight to extend their season.
The Matchup
The Blue Jays send their big trade deadline acquisition, Shane Bieber, to the mound with a chance to clinch the series. A former Cy Young winner, Bieber was brought in for exactly these high-stakes moments. With fellow starter José Berríos on the shelf with an elbow injury for the ALDS, Bieber’s role as a top-tier arm is even more critical. He has the pedigree to handle the bright lights of a playoff game in New York and will be tasked with quieting a desperate Yankees lineup.
The Yankees hand the ball to Carlos Rodón, who carries the weight of the season on his shoulders. New York needs its high-priced lefty to deliver the “stopper” performance they’ve been waiting for. The Yankees’ pitching has been battered in this series, and Rodón must turn the tide against a Blue Jays offense that is seeing the ball incredibly well. Expect the Yankee Stadium crowd to be electric, hoping to will their team to a victory.
Prediction
The betting odds favor the Yankees (-163), a line likely influenced by home-field advantage and the desperation of a team facing elimination. However, the on-field evidence from the first two games points in a different direction. The Blue Jays’ offense is operating at peak capacity, and they have a proven big-game pitcher in Shane Bieber on the hill.
While the Yankees will undoubtedly fight hard in front of their home fans, their pitching has shown no ability to contain Toronto’s bats. The pressure on Rodón is astronomical. The value here is with the underdog. The Blue Jays have all the momentum and a clear edge offensively. Look for them to finish the job in the Bronx.
Prediction: Blue Jays 6, Yankees 4
The Pick: Toronto Blue Jays (+133)
Sources:
Toronto Blue Jays Injury Status – ESPN
Blue Jays injuries and roster moves
Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report and Status 2025 – CBSSports.com
2025 Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report | RosterResource | FanGraphs …
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[Matheson] Blue Jays injury updates: : r/Torontobluejays
Blue Jays injury update on Bichette
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Blue Jays injury update: Bo Bichette looking optimistic and …
Varsho pulled from game with serious injury