A clash of two Big Ten teams heading in opposite directions—downward—takes center stage as the No. 12 Purdue Boilermakers travel to College Park to take on the Maryland Terrapins. While Purdue’s “slump” is a three-game skid, Maryland’s is a season-long struggle. This matchup presents a classic “get-right” opportunity for the heavily favored Boilermakers, but large conference spreads on the road are always a daunting proposition.

1. Game Overview:

• Matchup: #12 Purdue Boilermakers (Away) vs. Maryland Terrapins (Home)
• Date & Time: Sunday, February 1, 2026, at 1:00 PM EST
• Location: XFINITY Center, College Park, Maryland
• TV: CBS

2. Team Form and Analysis:

Purdue Boilermakers:The Boilermakers enter this contest in an unfamiliar position: reeling. Despite their top-12 ranking, they are riding a three-game losing streak, a rare sign of vulnerability for a perennial conference powerhouse. Having not secured a victory in nearly two weeks, expect a motivated and potentially angry Purdue squad to take the floor. Their identity remains centered around their dominant interior presence and methodical offense, which has produced a stellar 17-4 record. The key for Purdue is to re-establish its offensive efficiency and defensive grit that defined the first half of their season. A loss here would turn a slump into a serious slide, something this veteran team will be desperate to avoid.

Maryland Terrapins:To put it bluntly, the Terrapins are in the midst of a disastrous season. The month of January was particularly cruel, as the team posted a dismal 1-6 record. Their overall 8-12 standing reflects a team that has struggled to find any consistency on either end of the floor. While playing at home provides a familiar backdrop, their performance has offered little advantage. It’s worth noting their first meeting with Purdue this season was a surprisingly competitive 83-78 loss. For Maryland to have any chance of replicating that success—let alone pulling off a monumental upset—they will need a near-perfect performance and hope Purdue’s recent struggles continue.

3. Standings & Trends Analysis:

Based on the provided data, a clear statistical narrative emerges.

• Overall Record: The gap between these programs this season is immense. Purdue boasts an impressive 17-4-0 (81.0%) straight-up record, while Maryland languishes at 8-12-0 (40.0%). Purdue’s average margin of victory is a dominant +14.0 points, whereas Maryland’s is a deeply concerning -6.1 points.
• Home/Away Splits:
  • Purdue (Away): On the road, the Boilermakers are an even 3-3-0 Against the Spread (ATS). This indicates that while they win games, they perform exactly to market expectations away from home.
  • Maryland (Home): The Terrapins have not found a strong advantage at the XFINITY Center, posting a losing 4-5-0 ATS record at home. They are failing to defend their home court for bettors.
• Against the Spread (ATS) Analysis:
  • Purdue: Overall, Purdue has been a poor bet this season with a 9-12-0 ATS record (42.9% cover rate). Their ATS margin of -0.6 shows they are, on average, failing to cover spreads by a small margin.
  • Maryland: The Terps have been even worse for bettors, with an 8-12-0 ATS record (40.0% cover rate). More importantly, their ATS margin is a disastrous -4.5, meaning they are consistently and significantly underperforming the betting line.
• Over/Under (Total) Analysis:
  • Purdue: Games involving the Boilermakers have trended towards lower scores, with the Under hitting 57.1% of the time (9-12-0 O/U record).
  • Maryland: Conversely, Maryland’s games have been high-scoring affairs, with the Over cashing in 65.0% of their contests (13-7-0 O/U record). This suggests their games often feature poor defense or a faster-than-expected pace.

4. Betting Odds Analysis:

• Moneyline: Purdue -1700 / Maryland +890
• Point Spread: Purdue -15.5 (-102) / Maryland +15.5 (-120)
• Total (Over/Under): 148.5

The odds paint a picture of complete domination. The -1700 moneyline on Purdue implies a staggering 94.4% win probability, leaving no doubt as to who the oddsmakers believe will win. The point spread of -15.5 is massive for a conference road game and signals that a blowout is the most likely outcome. This line is a direct reflection of both Purdue’s season-long dominance and Maryland’s profound struggles. The total of 148.5 points is notable; it respects Purdue’s offensive capability while acknowledging Maryland’s strong trend toward the Over.

5. Prediction & Betting Angle:

Purdue is going to win this game; the only question is by how much. While laying over 15 points on the road with a team on a three-game losing streak is typically a red flag, this is a unique situation. The Boilermakers aren’t just any team; they are a ranked national contender that is angry and focused on stopping a skid.

The most telling statistic is Maryland’s season-long performance against market expectations. Their -4.5 ATS margin is abysmal and shows a team that consistently fails to even be competitive against the number. Purdue’s average margin of victory (+14.0) combined with Maryland’s average margin of defeat (-6.1) creates a 20.1-point differential on paper, which makes the 15.5-point spread look more than manageable. While their first meeting was a close five-point game, Purdue is now in a must-win situation to restore order and will not take this opponent lightly. This is a statement game for the Boilermakers.

Final Score Prediction: Purdue 85, Maryland 68

The Pick: Purdue -15.5 (-102). The talent gap is simply too vast, and the situational spot is perfect for a focused, dominant performance from the Boilermakers. Trust Purdue to end its losing streak emphatically against a Maryland team that has provided no reason to believe it can keep this game within the number.

Disclaimer: This article is for entertainment purposes only. All betting information is provided for informational purposes and is not a recommendation to wager.

Sources:
Rutgers University Athletics Men’s Basketball History vs Purdue …
Men’s Basketball History vs Purdue University from February 16, 1999
University of Minnesota Athletics Men’s Basketball History vs Purdue …
Men’s Basketball History vs University of Maryland from December …
Michigan Men’s Basketball Head-to-Head Results
NCAA Tournament First Round Preview | 6 Illinois vs. 11 Xavier
Ohio State Men’s Basketball History vs University of Maryland
AP men’s college basketball poll reaction: What’s next for each Top …
With their win today, Purdue has a winning head to head record …
Purdue Boilermakers men’s basketball – Wikipedia