A battle between two Central Division rivals with starkly different trajectories is on tap as the St. Louis Blues travel to Dallas to take on the formidable Stars. While one team is jockeying for the top spot in the Western Conference, the other is desperately trying to snap a miserable skid away from home.
1. Game Overview
- Matchup: St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars
- Date: Tuesday, January 23, 2026
- Time: 8:10 PM EST
- Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
- TV Schedule: For viewing information, check local listings and the official team websites.
2. Team Form and Analysis
St. Louis Blues: The Blues enter this contest in a deep rut, particularly on the road. The club is mired in a seven-game road losing streak and holds a disappointing 4-6-0 record over their last 10 games. This stretch has highlighted their inability to generate consistent results away from the Enterprise Center. While players like Robert Thomas continue to produce, the team’s overall structure and execution have faltered, leading to a slide in the standings. They face an uphill battle against a top-tier opponent in a hostile environment.
Dallas Stars: In stark contrast, the Stars are thriving. They are in a tight race for the top seed in the West and have established themselves as one of the league’s elite teams. While they recently suffered a tight 1-0 loss, their overall body of work speaks for itself. Dallas has shown remarkable resilience all season and has consistently found ways to win, particularly on home ice. Their depth and structured play make them a difficult matchup for any opponent, and they will look to leverage their home-ice advantage to continue their strong campaign.
3. Injury Report
- St. Louis Blues: The Blues will be without forward Dylan Holloway (Ankle), who is not expected back until at least January 24, and center Oskar Sundqvist (Ankle), who is projected to be out until at least January 27.
- Dallas Stars: The Stars list star forward Mikko Rantanen (Illness) as Day-to-Day. His status for the game is uncertain.
4. Standings & Trends Analysis
St. Louis Blues:
- Overall: The Blues’ 19-23 record paints a clear picture of an underperforming squad.
- Away: Their road woes are statistically glaring, with a dismal 7-14 record.
- Puck Line: St. Louis is 23-27 against the puck line (ATS) overall. On the road, they are an even 12-12 ATS, suggesting that even in losses, they manage to keep games close about half the time.
- Over/Under: The Blues have a 24-26 O/U record. On the road, the total has gone Over more often, with a 13-11 record.
Dallas Stars:
- Overall: The Stars boast an impressive 28-13 record, cementing their status as a Western Conference powerhouse.
- Home: They have been dominant at the American Airlines Center, posting a strong 13-7 record.
- Puck Line: This is where the narrative shifts dramatically. Despite their winning ways, the Stars are just 20-30 ATS overall. At home, that number plummets to a staggering 7-16. This indicates they win frequently in Dallas, but overwhelmingly in one-goal games.
- Over/Under: Dallas games trend towards lower scores, with a 24-26 O/U record overall and a 10-13 mark at home.
5. Betting Odds Analysis
- Moneyline: Stars -162 | Blues +134
- Puck Line: Stars -1.5 (+154) | Blues +1.5 (-192)
- Total: Over 5.5 (-122) | Under 5.5 (+100)
The odds establish the Stars as moderate home favorites, with a -162 line implying a ~61.8% win probability. However, the puck line tells the most compelling story. The juice on the Blues to cover +1.5 goals is a prohibitive -192, while the Stars covering -1.5 goals offers a handsome +154 payout. This pricing structure strongly suggests that the market expects a very close game, aligning perfectly with Dallas’s abysmal 7-16 home record against the spread. The total is slightly juiced to the over, but the even money (+100) on the under is noteworthy.
6. Prediction & Betting Angle
Final Score Prediction: Stars 3, Blues 2
The data presents a fascinating conflict. The Blues are on a seven-game road losing streak, making a straight-up bet on them a risky proposition. The Stars are excellent at home (13-7 SU), making their moneyline the logical outcome. However, Dallas’s 7-16 home puck line record is one of the most powerful trends in this matchup, indicating they simply do not win by margin. The market has baked this into the Blues +1.5 price of -192, which offers no value.
While laying -162 on a team that rarely wins by more than a goal feels uncomfortable, the real value emerges when looking at the total. Dallas’s home games trend towards the under (10-13), and both teams have a slight lean to the under for the season. The expected game script, heavily implied by the puck line odds, is a tight, one-goal affair. Low-scoring contests naturally provide fewer opportunities for a multi-goal victory, reinforcing the puck line trend.
Given the Blues’ offensive struggles on the road, the Stars’ strong defensive structure, and the potential absence of a key scorer in Rantanen, a lower-scoring game is a high probability. The fact that we are getting even money on this outcome makes it the most attractive angle.
The Pick: Under 5.5 (+100)
Disclaimer: This article is for entertainment purposes only. All betting information is provided for informational purposes and is not a recommendation to wager.
Sources:
Dallas Stars vs St. Louis Blues hockey Head To Head – AiScore
Blues Vs Stars Head To Head Game Log | StatMuse
NHL.com Media Site – News – #NHLStats Pack: Avalanche and Stars …
Dallas Stars vs St. Louis Blues History – NHL
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2024-25 St. Louis Blues Head-to-Head Results | Hockey-Reference …
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