Game: Miami Heat (14-7) at Dallas Mavericks (7-15)
Date: Wednesday, December 3, 2025
Time: 8:30 PM EST
Venue: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
Spread: Heat -5
Total: 240.5
Preview
The Miami Heat will travel to Dallas to take on a struggling Mavericks team in a matchup featuring two franchises with opposite trajectories early in the season. The Heat, boasting a strong 14-7 record, enter the game as 5-point road favorites. The Mavericks, meanwhile, are looking to get their season back on track at home after a disappointing 7-15 start.
The Miami Heat have established themselves as one of the top teams in the Eastern Conference. Their impressive 14-7 record demonstrates a consistency that has been hard to find for many teams. As road favorites, the expectation is for them to control the tempo and impose their will on a Mavericks team that has shown significant vulnerabilities.
For the Dallas Mavericks, this game is a crucial opportunity to build momentum and secure a much-needed win against a quality opponent. Their 7-15 record has been a source of frustration, and a victory over the Heat could be the catalyst to turn their season around. Playing on their home court will provide a boost, but they will need a near-perfect performance to overcome a formidable Miami squad. One minor storyline to watch is the reunion between Heat forward Keshad Johnson and Mavericks guard Brandon Williams, who were once teammates.
The betting lines tell a clear story. The Heat are favored by 5 points, and the high game total of 240.5 suggests that oddsmakers anticipate a fast-paced, high-scoring affair. The key will be whether the Mavericks’ offense can keep pace with the Heat to help push the total over the mark.
Prediction
The records in this matchup speak volumes. The Heat are playing with the confidence and execution of a contender, while the Mavericks are playing with the desperation of a team trying to stay afloat. While Dallas has the home-court advantage, their 7-15 record indicates deep-seated issues that are unlikely to be solved overnight against a team as disciplined as Miami. The 5-point spread seems more than manageable for a Heat team that is clearly superior on paper.
The total of 240.5 is exceptionally high. While the Heat are capable of putting up points, it’s a tall task to expect a struggling Mavericks team to contribute enough to a shootout of that magnitude. It’s more likely that one team’s offense falters, or the pace isn’t quite as frantic as projected, leading the final score to fall just short of this number.
Spread Prediction: Miami Heat -5
Total Prediction: Under 240.5
Final Score Prediction: Heat 121, Mavericks 113
Sources:
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