Buds Alley Odds

Game Preview: Thanksgiving Showdown as Chiefs Visit Cowboys

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Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs at Dallas Cowboys

Date & Time: Thursday, November 27, 2025, 4:30 PM EST

Venue: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas

TV: CBS

Point Spread: Chiefs -3.5

Total (Over/Under): 52.5

Game Breakdown

Two of the NFL’s marquee franchises are set for a high-stakes Thanksgiving Day collision as the Kansas City Chiefs travel to Arlington to take on the Dallas Cowboys. This late afternoon national broadcast on CBS features a battle between two Super Bowl contenders led by superstar quarterbacks. With a tight point spread and a high total, Las Vegas expects a competitive, high-scoring affair, perfect for a holiday audience.

Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5)

The Kansas City Chiefs continue to find ways to win, even when they aren’t at their explosive best. In a recent victory, they relied on kicker Harrison Butker for five field goals, squeaking out their first one-score win of the season after starting 0-5 in such contests. This highlights both their resilience and a potential struggle to finish drives in the end zone.

Even so, any offense led by Patrick Mahomes is a threat to score from anywhere on the field. The Chiefs’ primary concern will be converting red zone opportunities into touchdowns against a formidable Cowboys team. While specific injury information for this Week 13 matchup is still developing, the Chiefs have managed their roster well throughout the season. Key players like WR Xavier Worthy and RB Isiah Pacheco have appeared on injury reports in previous weeks, so their status will be crucial to monitor on the official team injury report leading up to kickoff.

Dallas Cowboys (+3.5)

The Dallas Cowboys will be ready for this heavyweight bout, with quarterback Dak Prescott confirmed to be healthy and “ready to go.” The Cowboys’ offense is a powerhouse, especially on their home turf at AT&T Stadium.

However, the team has been navigating a “long” injury report for much of the season. In recent weeks, starters like safety Donovan Wilson (elbow/shoulder) and DE Dorance Armstrong (ankle) have been on the list, and the team has had to manage depth issues across the board. While many of these players have returned, the cumulative effect of these injuries, particularly on the defensive side of the ball, could be a deciding factor against an offense as potent as Kansas City’s. Fans should check the Cowboys’ official injury report for the final game status of key defensive personnel.

Prediction

This game pits an elite Chiefs offense that sometimes settles for field goals against a dynamic Cowboys offense protected by a defense that has been banged up. The spread of 3.5 points is critical, essentially asking if the Chiefs can win by more than a field goal on the road.

While the Cowboys are tough at home, the Chiefs have the ultimate difference-maker in Patrick Mahomes. Dallas will put up points, likely pushing this game over the 52.5 total. However, Kansas City’s experience in tight games and their championship pedigree will show. Expect a back-and-forth battle, but a late drive from Mahomes will be the difference, allowing the Chiefs to secure the win and the cover.

Prediction: Chiefs 31, Cowboys 27

The Pick: Kansas City Chiefs -3.5

Over/Under: Over 52.5

Sources:
Injury Report | Kansas City Chiefs – Chiefs.com
Kansas City Chiefs Injury Status – ESPN
Chiefs Injury Report | Kansas City Chiefs – Chiefs.com
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