Buds Alley Odds

Game Preview: Penn State Hosts Fatigued Harvard

Author:

Game Details:

  • Matchup: Harvard Crimson at Penn State Nittany Lions
  • Date: Tuesday, November 19
  • Time: 6:30 PM EST
  • Spread: Penn State -12.5
  • Total: 142.5

The Breakdown

The Penn State Nittany Lions welcome the Harvard Crimson for a non-conference basketball matchup where the schedule itself may tell the biggest story. While the provided search results offered no specific details on either team’s current basketball roster or recent performance, a critical piece of scheduling information emerged: Harvard will be playing this game on the second night of a back-to-back.

According to a Brown University basketball document, Harvard is scheduled to play Maryland Eastern Shore on November 18, the day before traveling to face Penn State. This puts the Ivy League program at a significant physical disadvantage against a rested Big Ten opponent.

For Penn State, this is a prime opportunity to assert its will. As 12.5-point favorites, the expectation is a comfortable victory. The Nittany Lions will likely look to push the pace, utilize their depth, and wear down a Crimson team that could be running on fumes. Facing a Power Five school is a tough enough test for an Ivy League team, but doing so without a day of rest makes the challenge monumental.

Harvard’s primary goal will be to control the tempo and make this a half-court game. A fast-paced contest would play directly into the hands of the fresher Nittany Lions. If the Crimson can execute efficiently on offense and avoid the costly turnovers that lead to easy transition points, they may be able to keep the game closer than the spread suggests. However, fatigue often leads to lapses in defensive intensity and poor shooting, which will be difficult to overcome.

Prediction

The scheduling dynamic is too significant to ignore. Penn State has the advantage of being the more rested team, playing at home, and possessing the typical size and athleticism advantage of a Big Ten program. Harvard’s challenge of playing on consecutive nights is likely to drain their energy and make it difficult to keep pace for a full 40 minutes.

The Nittany Lions’ depth should allow them to maintain pressure throughout the game, eventually pulling away in the second half as Harvard’s legs get heavy. The 12.5-point spread is large, but it accurately reflects the difficult situation the Crimson are walking into.

The Pick: Penn State -12.5

Total: With one team likely to be fatigued, offensive execution could suffer. While Penn State may score easily on tired defenders, Harvard’s own scoring output is likely to be suppressed. This points toward a lower-scoring affair than the total might indicate.

The Pick: Under 142.5

Predicted Score: Penn State 75, Harvard 60

Sources:
Harvard Injury Control Research Center | Harvard T.H. Chan School …
Report an Accident or Emergency | Harvard Environmental Health …
Publications | Harvard Injury Control Research Center | Harvard T.H. …
Fall 2007 (Issue 2)
Mission | Harvard Injury Control Research Center | Harvard T.H. …
Harvard Injury Control Research Center Firearms Research …
Who owned the gun in firearm suicides of men, women, and youth in …
Firearms and violence: a critical review – PMC
Firearm Purchasing During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Results From …
Americans Who Become a New Versus a Former Gun Owner …

PHP Code Snippets Powered By : XYZScripts.com