It’s the final Saturday of the regular season in the NCAAB and, for our college basketball computer picks for March 9, we’ve curated the best predictions from our proprietary model. When these three bets cash, you can thank the AI Model!
We’ll break down the college basketball odds. You let us know which plays you’ll tail at the top betting sites.
Picks Summary
- UConn -10 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Virginia -7.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- LSU -7 (-110) at Bet365
UConn Huskies vs. Providence Friars
Saturday, March 09, 2024 – 08:00 PM ET at Amica Mutual Pavilion
Our AI Model suggests UConn will earn a 75-64 road win over Providence. With the spread currently at 10, the UConn Huskies have a slight edge in tonight’s Big East matchup.
Hit the Road
It’s never easy to play a road game in conference play. But now that UConn finally has a win against a ranked opponent on the road, they’ll be fine.
The Huskies have one of the best defenses in the nation, keeping teams to 31.8% from three and 44% from inside the arc. Providence, on the other hand, takes many threes but only hits at 33.3%. That’s not ideal. Not against UConn.
The Friars also won’t see many offensive rebounds and only hit 70.8% from the foul line, which isn’t all that good either.
Computer Pick
There’s also no stopping UConn’s offense. The Huskies rank third in the nation in adjusted efficiency and have added 37.7% of offensive rebounds. UConn has also drilled 36.5% from three and 58.5% from two. This is a well-balanced team that has championship aspirations.
They’ll want to finish the season strong and match up well against a Providence squad that doesn’t defend the three well.
Let’s ride with UConn at -10.
NCAAB Pick: UConn -10 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. Virginia Cavaliers
Saturday, March 09, 2024 – 08:00 PM ET at John Paul Jones Arena
The AI Model likes Virginia at -7.5 tonight. The projected score for this matchup is 67-59, implying Virginia will win by eight points. That’s enough value to grab the Cavaliers tonight.
Stranger Things
Georgia Tech has been one of the weirder teams in college basketball this season. The Yellow Jackets won over Duke, Miss State, Penn State, North Carolina and Wake Forest, but they’ve also lost to Louisville, Notre Dame, UMass Lowell and Georgia.
They’ve been consistently good lately, adding three consecutive wins to their resume late in the season. But this is the same team that allowed 75 points to Virginia earlier in the year.
If Virginia scores 75 points tonight, it’ll easily get a dub.
Computer Pick
The Yellow Jackets don’t force turnovers, which will work well for the Cavaliers, who rank seventh in the nation in turnovers per game.
On the other hand, Georgia Tech has only hit 33.1% from three and 48% from inside the arc. The offense rarely gets to the foul line either, and now they’ll have to take on a Virginia team that dedicates its life to defense.
I’m all over Virginia at -7.5 tonight. The AI Model knows.
NCAAB Pick: Virginia -7.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
LSU Tigers vs. Missouri Tigers
Saturday, March 09, 2024 – 08:30 PM ET at Pete Maravich Assembly Center
The AI Model likes LSU to earn an eight-point victory over Missouri tonight. The Missouri Tigers haven’t even won in conference play this season and will now take on a surging LSU squad that has played much better recently.
Roaring Back
The LSU Tigers could finish the conference season with a 9-9 record. This didn’t seem possible after their loss to Nicholls earlier in the year.
Now it’s very possible.
On the other hand, Missouri has lost 17 consecutive games, including a 101-74 beatdown against the Auburn Tigers at home.
Missouri has allowed many offensive rebounds and fouls at a very high rate. The team has also allowed opponents to shoot 34.3% from three and 51.4% from inside the arc.
While LSU turns the ball over at a higher rate, LSU has nailed 35.6% from three and 51.9% from inside the arc. Those are above-average numbers. The LSU Tigers should also see plenty of foul-shot attempts in this game.
Computer Pick
On the other hand, Missouri has nailed 79% from the foul line. The Missouri Tigers just don’t get there often enough. They’ve also hit only 32.4% from three and have hauled in 26.3% of offensive rebounds, which is a meager rate.
Missouri is drained. They have this game and one other SEC tournament game until the season is over. Back LSU at -7 for their senior night.
NCAAB Pick: LSU -7 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
