We’ve got a super small slate of college basketball games tonight. However, the AI Model still likes a few games. Before heading to our top-rated sportsbooks, we’ll discuss those three games and provide picks for them below.
Picks Summary
- Indiana +5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
- Weber State -2.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- South Dakota State +8 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers
Friday, December 13, 2024 – 08:00 PM ET at Pinnacle Bank Arena
The AI Model thinks Nebraska will add a 79-75 win over Indiana tonight. However, Indiana is a 5-point underdog, meaning they’d cover with a four-point loss. Consider Indiana in this spot.
Nebraska Has A Week Shooting Percentage!
Although Nebraska has the edge being at home, the Cornhuskers have shot way worse. Nebraska has hit just 29.8% from three and has a 50.4% effective field goal percentage.
Nebraska should be able to limit turnovers well but won’t struggle inside, especially since Indiana has held teams to 47.1% from two-point range this season. Additionally, Indiana has limited teams to 30.3% from downtown and has held opponents to a 24.8 FTA/FGA, which ranks 32nd in college basketball.
Indiana Has More Scoring Ability
The Indiana Hoosiers have shot 35.9% from three and 57.2% from inside the arc. Indiana has also shot 75.2% from the foul line and has added way more offensive rebounds than Nebraska has.
Indiana will need to keep turnovers down better. The Hoosiers have turned the ball over 19.7% of the time. However, if they can be a little bit more careful with the ball, they’ll be able to get more quality looks.
The Pick
Let’s take Indiana at +5. The Hoosiers are capable of the road upset as well.
NCAAB Pick: Indiana +5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Weber State Wildcats vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers
Friday, December 13, 2024 – 09:00 PM ET at Burns Arena
The AI Model thinks Weber State will earn a four-point win on the road tonight. However, the Wildcats are only -2.5 against the spread. Take Weber State here.
Weber State Is Still Better Offensively
This game between Weber State and Utah Tech doesn’t feature the best offenses. However, despite shooting 31.3% from three and 49.5% from inside, Weber State is still the better offense heading into this game. The Wildcats have also held turnovers down to 16.4% this season and have shot an effective field goal percentage of 48.5. That’s way better than Utah Tech’s 45% effective field goal percentage.
Utah Tech has shot 27.5% from three and 47.7% from inside the arc. The Trailblazers have been even worse on the offensive glass, adding only 24.6% of offensive rebounds.
Weber State’s Strong Defense Inside
The Wildcats have fouled a lot and don’t force many turnovers. But when it comes to defending in the paint, the Wildcats have done well enough. Weber State has limited teams to 48.6% from inside the arc, which still ranks 119th in the NCAAB. That’ll help them push through and cover against Utah Tech.
The Pick
Ride with Weber State at -2.5. The AI Model thinks they’ll win by four!
NCAAB Pick: Weber State -2.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. Colorado Buffaloes
Friday, December 13, 2024 – 09:00 PM ET at CU Events Center
The AI Model suggests South Dakota State will lose to Colorado, 76-69 on the road. That’s a seven-point deficit, but you can find South Dakota State at +8. That’s the way to go.
South Dakota State Will Dominate The Glass
The Colorado Buffaloes have shot 39.8% from three. However, the Buffaloes will unlikely shoot this well from the field, especially with South Dakota holding teams at 31.1% from downtown this year.
Since Colorado is expected to miss more shots, more offensive rebounding opportunities should exist. However, the Buffaloes have gained only 28.9% of offensive rebounds per game this season. On the other hand, South Dakota State has held teams to 19.9% of offensive rebounds. South Dakota State should limit Colorado from the floor and not allow second chances.
Feasting Inside
South Dakota State has shot 55.6% from inside the arc this season. The Jackrabbits rarely get blocked and have added 31.9% of offensive rebounds. They’ll shoot better inside and could also end up with more second-chance points.
The Pick
Don’t be surprised when the Jackrabbits stick around and give themselves a chance to win outright.
NCAAB Pick: South Dakota State +8 (-110) at Bet365
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