Here is the good news: I have hit each of my last 2 Same Game Parlays (on Sunday Night Football at +600 odds and on Monday Night Football at +642 odds). Here is the bad news: we have to sit around watching the New York Jets play another primetime game this week. That’s right; the lowly Jets are once again featured in primetime – this time on Thursday Night Football in Week 9 against the Houston Texans. New York comes in with a 2-6 record, while Houston is 6-2.
Here is my Same Game Parlay for the festivities, which get underway at 8:15 pm ET on Prime Video. Also be sure to check out our full Texans vs Jets predictions.
Texans ML (+110)
Joe Mixon to score a touchdown (-125)
Breece Hall to record 70+ rushing yards (+102)
Parlay odds: +664
Part of the value in a Same Game Parlay, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. That is some of the plan here, as Houston running back Joe Mixon scoring a touchdown would obviously work well with a win for the Texans. At the same time, plays that aren’t correlated drive up the overall payout of the parlay. That is the case with backing New York running back Breece Hall to rack up his fair share of rushing yards. But even if he does, there is no reason why the visitors can’t take care of business. Let’s break down each of the 3 legs.
Texans ML (+110)
It’s actually unbelievable that anyone still thinks the Jets are good. Maybe nobody does – and their status as favorites can simply be attributed to playing at home and facing an opponent that is without receivers Stefon Diggs and Nico Collins. New York certainly can’t be favored on its own merit. Eight games represent without question a big enough sample size to prove that the Jets are frauds. They do have some talent, but the little that they do have hasn’t been allowed to gel with so many moving parts both on the coaching staff and the roster. Aaron Rodgers and company have lost 5 games in a row, including the last 2 in horrible fashion – to the Pittsburgh Steelers by 22 points and to the hapless New England Patriots. It is true that not having Diggs and Collins is a big deal, but CJ Stroud can throw the ball to Tank Dell and hand it off to Joe Mixon. That should be enough to beat the Jets.
Joe Mixon to score a touchdown (-125)
No Diggs and no Collins means the Texans will likely be featuring a steady diet of the ground game. And they might as well against the Jets, who are awesome against the pass (second in yards per game allowed at 161.1). New York has surrendered a mere 6 touchdowns through the air compared to 10 on the ground (only 3 teams have given up more). Mixon has delivered 3 100-yard rushing performances in succession and has been kept under the 100-yard mark just once so far in 2024. He has 6 total TDs (5 rushing, 1 receiving) and only once this season has he been kept out of the endzone. There is no reason why Mixon shouldn’t find the endzone at least 1 time on Thursday night.
Breece Hall to record 70+ rushing yards (+102)
All signs point to New York giving Hall the rock early and often. First of all, Rodgers is playing thoroughly mediocre football. He probably hasn’t been as bad as his team’s 2-6 record indicates, but he also hasn’t been great. Controlling the clock with Hall running the ball is a better idea for the Jets than Rodgers forcing things via the airwaves. Hall has yardage outputs of 113 and 80 yards in 2 of the past 3 contests and during this stretch he is averaging 15.3 carries per game – tied for his most in any 3-game stretch this year. The Iowa State product now faces a Houston defense that is #3 in the league against the pass while allowing the ninth-most yards per carry at 4.7.
