Although there are 16 games on the MLB slate, nearly half will be played during the afternoon. We’ve reviewed the later portion of the slate so everyone who reads the article can follow our AI Model. Thanks to the model, here’s one of three bets we’re on at top-rated sportsbooks.
For more of today’s betting analysis, check out:
MLB Pick
- Diamondbacks +1.5 (-190) at Caesars Sportsbook
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals
Wednesday, July 24, 2024 – 08:10 PM ET at Kauffman Stadium
Our AI Model believes the Diamondbacks will keep it close against the Royals tonight. Arizona is only expected to lose 4.3-4.2. However, you can back the Diamondbacks at +1.5 (-190). Per the AI Model, these odds are the way to go.
Ryne Nelson Isn’t Pitching Poorly
Over the years, I’ve faded Ryne Nelson and won plenty of money. But he’s starting to adapt and adjust.
Nelson, a right-hander for Arizona, has held his last 116 batters to a .140 ISO and wOBA of .293. These are excellent stats. It all started thanks to low walks and a low flyball rate. If he continues pitching at this level, he’ll be a legitimate rotation piece for Arizona’s future.
Michael Wacha Can Hold His Own, Too
The Padres will send out Michael Wacha. He’s been even better than Nelson. However, he’ll have to take on a terrific Diamondbacks offense that has hit a .214 ISO and wOBA of .337 against righties using the projected lineup over the last 30 days.
Arizona’s lineup has struck out below 20% of the time and has walked more than 9% of the time. They’ll find ways on base and create havoc against Wacha.
The Pick
We’ll take the +1.5 with the Diamondbacks in a potentially close pitching duel. You can thank the AI Model!
MLB Pick: Diamondbacks +1.5 (-190) at Caesars Sportsbook
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
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