The conference tournaments are continuing throughout the day today! I’ve found a few best bets you’ll want to consider using our AI Model. Let’s try and earn some profit for today’s college basketball slate.
Picks Summary
- Kentucky/Alabama Under 180 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
- Texas Tech -2.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Clemson -1 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
Friday, March 14, 2025 – 09:30 PM ET at Bridgestone Arena
The AI Model projects Alabama and Kentucky will score 179 points. However, the total is currently at 180 points. The under is appealing, even in this potentially high-scoring game.
Can Alabama Get Stops?
The Alabama Crimson Tide are known for their offense. However, the defense has held teams to 30.4% from deep and 48.7% from inside the arc. Alabama won’t force a high rate of turnovers. However, they should still hold Kentucky off of the offensive glass.
After all, Kentucky has added just 29.1% of offensive rebounds, and Alabama has allowed only 29.5%. Plus, Kentucky was just involved in a nail-biter against Oklahoma that likely made them a bit fatigued, heading into this game.
Kentucky Does Some Good Things Defensively, Too!
The Kentucky Wildcats have allowed just a 50.1% effective field goal percentage. Kentucky has also allowed teams to hit only 30.6% from deep. In addition, the Wildcats have limited opponents to 26% of offensive rebounds. That’s an area that Alabama loves to attack. However, it could be more difficult against the Wildcats.
Alabama will have its way down low around the rim. But two-point shots on each possession surely won’t help this game get to at least 180 points.
The Pick
I’m on the Under 180 and agree with the AI Model.
NCAAB Pick: Kentucky/Alabama Under 180 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Arizona Wildcats vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders
Friday, March 14, 2025 – 09:30 PM ET at T-Mobile Center
The AI Model predicts Texas Tech will win 78-75 over Arizona. However, Texas Tech is just -2.5 against the spread. A three-point win would make the Red Raiders cover.
Arizona Won’t Have It Easy!
The Arizona Wildcats earned an 88-77 win over Kansas last night. However, the offense might not have it nearly as easy tonight. Texas Tech has held teams to a 47.7% effective field goal percentage. They’ve also allowed just 31.2% from deep and 48.1% from inside the arc.
It’s unlikely Arizona will dominate offensively against this Texas Tech defense. The Red Raiders have also limited opponents to only 28.2% of offensive rebounds, another area where Arizona excels but could be limited tonight.
Texas Tech Is Even Better On Offense
There aren’t many teams better than Arizona on offense. However, Texas Tech is. The Red Raiders have shot an effective field goal percentage of 55.6%, hitting 38.1% from deep and 54.4% from inside the arc this season. Additionally, Arizona has added just 17% of turnovers and has given up a 48.5% effective field goal percentage.
This isn’t alarming, but it’s worse than Texas Tech’s defensive rate.
The Pick
Take a chance with Texas Tech at -2.5.
NCAAB Pick: Texas Tech -2.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Clemson Tigers vs. Louisville Cardinals
Friday, March 14, 2025 – 09:30 PM ET at Spectrum Center
The AI Model suggests Clemson will escape Louisville with a two-point win. Meanwhile, you can find Clemson at -1. That would be enough! Consider Clemson to reach the ACC Final.
Can Clemson Convert From Downtown?
The Clemson Tigers escaped the SMU Mustangs, 57-54, to earn a trip into the semifinals. Clemson’s offense has had its moments. But ultimately, the Tigers have struggled to reach the foul line much this season.
That’ll likely be a problem tonight. However, Clemson has still shot over 37% from deep this season. Against Louisville, Clemson should be able to find some open looks from downtown. After all, Louisville has allowed teams to shoot 33.6% from downtown this season.
Can Louisville Score Consistently?
The Clemson Tigers have limited their last two opponents to 47 and 57 points. They’ve allowed no more than 58 points in three of their previous four games. Their defense has held teams to a 48.9% effective field goal percentage and will give Louisville all sorts of problems.
Ultimately, Louisville must dominate the offensive glass to stick around in this game. The Cardinals are already weak from downtown, shooting just 33.3% from three. They’ve also been blocked nearly 10% of the time.
The Pick
Let’s back Clemson at -1.
NCAAB Pick: Clemson -1 (-110) at Bet365
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