The Florida Gators travel to face the Mississippi State Bulldogs in college basketball action at Humphrey Coliseum on Tuesday, February 11. This game presents a prime opportunity for both teams, and here’s a breakdown of what to expect from a betting perspective.

Florida’s Recent Form

Florida enters this contest fresh off a dominant 90-81 win over Auburn, improving their record to 20-3. After this game, they will return home to face South Carolina. Key players include Walter Clayton Jr., who leads the team with 17.4 points per game (PPG) and 3.8 assists per game (APG), and Alijah Martin, who adds 15.3 PPG. The Gators’ offense averages 83.4 PPG, led by a strong shooting percentage of 46.6% from the field.

Why Florida Could Win:

• Florida has been excellent in night games, winning 15 of their last 16.
• Mississippi State has struggled in night games against ranked teams, losing 18 of their last 20.

Mississippi State’s Recent Form

Mississippi State comes into this game with a 17-6 record, following a narrow 76-75 victory over Georgia. The Bulldogs will head on the road for a rematch against Ole Miss after this contest. Josh Hubbard leads the team with 17.6 PPG, and KeShawn Murphy contributes 11 PPG and 7.2 rebounds per game (RPG). Mississippi State’s offense averages 79.9 PPG and shoots 45.6% from the field.

Why Mississippi State Could Win:

• Mississippi State has been strong at home, winning 24 of their last 32 games at Humphrey Coliseum.

Total Points Trends:

• The last nine matchups between these teams have totaled 149 points or fewer.
• Florida’s last seven night games against ranked teams have exceeded 166 points.

Prediction:

I’m backing Mississippi State in this matchup. Although Florida has shown they’re a title contender, this game is a tricky spot for the Gators—coming off a major win over Auburn and heading into back-to-back road games. Meanwhile, Mississippi State has the chance to build momentum for their NCAA tournament aspirations. Expect a close, competitive game with Mississippi State pulling off the victory at home.