Point Spread: Timberwolves -5.5
Total: 200.5
Key Changes Due to Curry’s Absence:
- Warriors’ Offensive Capabilities Severely Limited: Curry’s absence removes the Warriors’ primary scoring threat and playmaking hub.
- Timberwolves’ Defensive Focus: The Timberwolves can now concentrate their defensive efforts on other Warriors players, making their life even more difficult.
- Mental Impact: Curry’s absence can have a significant psychological impact on both teams. The Warriors may lack confidence, while the Timberwolves could become even more aggressive.
Revised Analysis:
With Curry sidelined, the Timberwolves’ path to victory becomes much clearer. The Warriors’ chances of winning this game are greatly diminished. Without their star player, and the series tied with control on their side, this opens it up for the Timberwolves to push for a sweep. Given this, make a big note about your bank accounts and think real hard before doing something that isn’t going to be helpful to you.
Revised Key Matchups:
- Anthony Edwards vs. Warriors’ Perimeter Defenders: Edwards becomes the clear focal point of the Warriors’ defense, but without Curry to occupy attention, will they be able to do anything?
- Draymond Green’s Role: Green needs to elevate his game to lead the Warriors on both ends of the floor. He will need to make sure his experience in the play, and more and more of this is key for the Warriors to take it to game 5.
- Will they be able to take game four, and what would it mean for the Timberwolves?
Revised Prediction:
Given Curry’s absence, the Timberwolves should win and cover the -5.5 spread with all the facts coming in. I expect a lower score than expected so I still favor the Under of 200.5.Final Prediction:Timberwolves to win and cover the -5.5 point spread AND the Under with all the facts coming in.
I expect some heavy-heartedness coming from their side. Keep all this information so no mis steps are put along the way for a major win to come out of this session.
Sources:
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