Game Date: 04-12 11:45 PM EST
Moneyline Odds: Michael Chandler +136, Paddy Pimblett -174
The Story: This fight is a clash of styles and personalities, and arguably, a significant crossroads for both fighters. Michael Chandler, a former Bellator champion, is known for his explosive power, relentless pressure, and unwavering willingness to engage in brawls. Paddy “The Baddy” Pimblett is a charismatic and popular Liverpudlian with a strong grappling game and a rapidly growing fanbase.
Michael Chandler’s Path to Victory: Chandler’s best bet lies in leveraging his wrestling pedigree and powerful striking. He needs to pressure Pimblett from the opening bell, forcing him to react and limiting his opportunities to dictate the pace. Chandler’s explosive takedowns could be crucial in tiring Pimblett and controlling the fight. On the feet, Chandler’s power punches could find their mark, potentially ending the fight early. However, Chandler’s tendency to brawl can also be a double-edged sword, leaving him vulnerable to counters and submissions.
Paddy Pimblett’s Path to Victory: Pimblett thrives in chaos and scrambles. He needs to weather Chandler’s initial storm, using his superior grappling to secure takedowns and control the fight on the ground. Pimblett’s submission game is a serious threat, and he’ll be looking to capitalize on any openings Chandler provides. On the feet, Pimblett needs to utilize his striking to set up his takedowns and avoid prolonged exchanges with Chandler’s heavier hands. He’ll also need to manage his cardio, as Chandler’s relentless pace can be draining.
Key Factors:
- Wrestling: Chandler’s wrestling background gives him a potential advantage in controlling where the fight takes place.
- Striking Power: Chandler possesses significantly more power in his strikes, making him a constant threat on the feet.
- Grappling: Pimblett’s grappling skills and submission prowess are his biggest assets.
- Cardio: Chandler’s relentless pace can test Pimblett’s cardio, particularly if he’s forced to defend takedowns repeatedly.
- Fight IQ: Both fighters can be prone to making mistakes. The fighter who remains composed and sticks to their game plan will have a significant edge.
Prediction:
While Chandler’s power and wrestling present a real threat, Paddy Pimblett’s grappling and fight IQ should be enough to secure the victory. Chandler’s wild style can leave him open, and Pimblett is opportunistic. Look for Pimblett to weather the early storm, secure a takedown, and eventually find a submission or grind out a decision victory.
Pick: Paddy Pimblett -174
Sources:
Britain’s 5 Likeliest Fighters to be Crowned UFC Champion, Ranked