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UFC Vegas 104 Main Card Picks and Best Bets: Blackshear Expected to Dominate

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UFC Vegas 104 brings a thrilling night of fights, with emerging talent and seasoned fighters making up the exciting main card. Key bouts include Da’Mon Blackshear, Cody Gibson, Kevin Vallejos, and Seungwoo Choi, where several intriguing betting opportunities await.

Key Betting Picks:

  • Da’Mon Blackshear ML & Over 1.5 Rounds (-185)
  • Kevin Vallejos ML & Under 2.5 Rounds (-152)

All odds from Bet365.


Da’Mon Blackshear vs. Cody Gibson – Bantamweight Main Card Bout

Da’Mon Blackshear: With a 15-7-1 record, Blackshear has faced top-tier competition, and his losses are to highly skilled fighters like Mario Bautista and Farid Basharat. His skill set is strong, particularly in grappling, where he boasts 10 submission victories. Blackshear is a highly skilled, athletic bantamweight capable of controlling all phases of the fight.

Cody Gibson: A 37-year-old veteran with a 21-10 record, Gibson has fought his way back into the UFC but lacks any significant wins against top-tier competition. He enters this fight on a two-fight win streak, though neither opponent is a major threat.

Fight Analysis: While Gibson is durable, Blackshear holds a clear edge in athleticism, grappling, and overall technique. Gibson’s well-rounded skill set won’t be enough to overcome Blackshear’s advantages, and we expect Blackshear to win by late submission.

Bet Recommendation: Da’Mon Blackshear ML & Over 1.5 Rounds (-185). The over helps account for Gibson’s durability, but Blackshear should secure a finish later in the fight.


Kevin Vallejos vs. Seungwoo Choi – Featherweight Main Card Bout

Kevin Vallejos: The 23-year-old Argentine talent comes into the UFC with an impressive 14-1 record, including 10 knockouts. His striking ability is elite, and he has shown the potential to be a future star in the featherweight division. Vallejos impressed during his time on Dana White’s Contender Series, and his UFC debut presents another chance to showcase his skill set.

Seungwoo Choi: At 32 years old, Choi has a respectable 11-7 record, but he’s shown vulnerabilities, especially after a knockout loss to Steve Garcia. Choi’s experience could be an asset, but his lack of knockout power and tendency to trade in exchanges make him a vulnerable opponent against a powerhouse striker like Vallejos.

Fight Analysis: Vallejos’ striking skills far exceed Choi’s, and his ability to end fights quickly with knockout power gives him a huge advantage. This will be a striking battle, and Choi will struggle to keep up with Vallejos’ pace and power.

Bet Recommendation: Kevin Vallejos ML & Under 2.5 Rounds (-152). Vallejos should secure a knockout victory within the first two rounds, making this bet a high-value play.


Conclusion: UFC Vegas 104 promises exciting matchups, and the picks for Blackshear and Vallejos look like great opportunities for betting. Blackshear’s grappling and striking advantage should lead him to victory, while Vallejos’ knockout power makes him a heavy favorite against Choi.

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