At the beginning of the season, 32 teams began training camp all with one goal in mind: to win Super Bowl 59. 30 teams have been eliminated and only two teams have a chance to achieve this goal. When the Kansas City Chiefs take the field against the Philadelphia Eagles in New Orleans, who will become the champion, and who will be the winning NFL pick?
Picks Summary
- Chiefs ML (-130)
- Patrick Mahomes Over 40 Rushing Yards (+155)
- Dallas Goedert Over 50 Receiving Yards (-135)
*All odds from Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Sunday, February 09, 2025 – 06:30 PM ET at Caesars Superdome
Who Wins the Game?
The Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles will rematch their Super Bowl from 2 years ago in which the Chiefs pulled off a close, last-second victory. Now the retooled Eagles will attempt to get revenge when they take the field. But this Eagles team is stronger. The Eagles have improved their offensive line and acquired star running back Saquon Barkley, which makes their rushing attack even tougher to defend.
Defensive Upgrades
The Eagles also upgraded their defense by adding defensive coordinator Vic Fangio. Fangio’s schemes have been elite all year and after a mediocre start, the Eagles defense has been one of the best in the league. The Eagles will need all these factors in play in order to get a victory.
If the Eagles are to win this game it’ll definitely be through the ground. The Eagles are second in the league in rushing yards this year at 179.3 yards per game. They are 7th in the league in points scored at 27.2 points per game. The Eagles will need to be effective on the ground and keep the ball out of the Chiefs’ hands if they are to get this win.
A Tough Task
The Eagles will face a tough task going against the Kansas City Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes. The Chiefs have won an NFL record 17 straight one score games. So if the game is close, the Chiefs will come out on top. And in the Super Bowl, we will most likely see another close, competitive game.
In his career, Patrick Mahomes has a record of 17-3 in the postseason. In a playoff game when he is a dog or a favorite of 5 points or less, he is 11-2 against the spread. Patrick Mahomes is also 8-0 in his career when going against defensive coordinator Vic Fangio.
Although the Chiefs offense has not been explosive during this season, the Chiefs did put up 38 points against the Eagles in the Super Bowl two seasons ago. His team averages 29.7 points per game in the playoffs. So while the Chiefs’ offense wasn’t as explosive as usual this season, the Chiefs have shown that they can return to their explosive ways during the playoffs.
The Moneyline Pick
Simply put, the Chiefs are the new dynasty in the NFL. You should not bet against them until they are beaten. The combination of Kansas City Chiefs head coach Andy Reid, defensive coordinator Steve Spagnola, and quarterback Patrick Mahomes is too much for opposing teams to handle. The Chiefs find ways to get it done, regardless of what statistics say. Continue to back this trend. Bet the Kansas City Chiefs at -130 NFL odds.
NFL Pick: Chiefs ML (-130) at Bet365
Player Props
Patrick Mahomes – Rushing Yards
Patrick Mahomes is not considered a dual-threat quarterback, but that’s because he doesn’t run often during the regular season.
Mahomes knows that he needs to save himself and an injury would derail the team’s season. Therefore, Mahomes is very safe and cautious during the regular season.
However, during the playoffs, Mahomes starts taking off and you can see his speed and running ability on display. Mahomes has had a rush of 12 or more yards in four straight games. He had 11 rushing attempts last week against Buffalo.
The Chiefs’ QB will definitely tuck it and run when the Chiefs need a big play and the coverage is tight. A great prop play is Patrick Mahomes over 40 rushing yards.
NFL Pick: Patrick Mahomes Over 40 Rushing Yards (+155) at Bet365
Dallas Goedert – Receiving Yards
Philadelphia Eagles’ tight end Dallas Goedert has become one of Jalen Hurts‘ favorite targets during the postseason. Goedert has gone over this total in all three playoff games and in the 2023 Super Bowl against the Chiefs he had 60 receiving yards.
The Kansas City Chiefs are averaging 70 yards per game given up to opposing tight ends. Even Texans TE Dalton Schultz was able to get 63 yards against the Kansas City Chiefs in their Divisional Round playoff game. Dallas Goedert will have a big game and we need to bet his over receiving yards.
NFL Pick: Dallas Goedert Over 50 Receiving Yards (-135) at Bet365
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