The Bowling Green Falcons and Ball State Cardinals meet Saturday in week 13 college football action at Scheumann Stadium. Here’s a Ball State vs Bowling Green Prediction. This article will include a Ball State vs Bowling Green Pick.
Bowling Green Falcons Betting Preview
The Bowling Green Falcons beat Central Michigan and Western Michigan, and they play Miami (OH) next. Bowling Green has won 3 straight road games. Connor Bazelak is completing 68.2 percent of his passes for 2,198 yards, 13 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Harold Fannin Jr. and Malcolm Johnson Jr. have combined for 1,563 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns, while Jamal Johnson has 25 receptions.
The Bowling Green Falcons ground game is averaging 157.8 yards per contest, and Terion Stewart leads the way with 824 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Bowling Green is allowing 20.2 points and 334.7 yards per game. Joseph Sipp Jr. leads the Bowling Green Falcons with 67 tackles, Charles Rosser has 5.5 sacks and Jacorey Benjamin has 2 interceptions.
Ball State Cardinals Betting Preview
The Ball State Cardinals lost to Miami (OH) and buffalo, and they play Ohio next. Ball State has split its last 4 home games. Kadin Semonza is completing 66.4 percent of his passes for 2,356 yards, 20 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions. Tanner Koziol and Justin Bowick have combined for 1,107 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns, while Cam Pickett has 36 receptions.
The Ball State Cardinals ground game is averaging 115.2 yards per contest, and Braedon Sloan leads the way with 539 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Ball State is allowing 40.1 points and 462.2 yards per game. Keionte Newson leads the Ball State Cardinals with 58 tackles, Brandon Berger has 5 sacks and Joey Stemler has 2 interceptions.
Why the Bowling Green Falcons will win
- Bowling Green has won each of its last nine November games as a favorite.
- Ball State has lost each of its last three games in November.
- Bowling Green has covered the spread in four of its last five November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Bowling Green has won the first half in each of its last 12 games against conference opponents.
- Bowling Green has won the first quarter in nine of its last 10 games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Bowling Green’s last eight games as a favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Six of Ball State’s last seven November home games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Ball State ranks 134th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (14.3).
- Ball State ranks 134th among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (-7.2).
- Bowling Green ranks 10th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (171.0).
- Bowling Green ranks 125th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (70.8).
Ball State vs Bowling Green Prediction
The Bowling Green Falcons are the better team and need to keep winning as they close in on a possible MAC title. The problem is Bowling Green is some dominant force, and it’s 1-4 ATS this season as a double-digit favorite. The Ball State Cardinals don’t do anything well, but it is senior night and this roster has 16 seniors. Ball State has covered 4 straight games as a double-digit underdog, and one of those covers was an outright win this season over Northern Illinois. Give me the points.