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NBA Computer Picks for November 3: Atlanta Can Surprise New Orleans

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Oddstrader

There are only three games on the NBA schedule today. I’ve asked the AI Model for its thoughts on all three games and presented them below. Let’s have a big finish to the weekend in the NBA. Don’t miss out on any action at the top-rated sportsbooks!

Picks Summary


Detroit Pistons vs. Brooklyn Nets

Sunday, November 03, 2024 – 03:00 PM ET at Barclays Center


The AI Model believes the Nets will add a 112-109 win over the Pistons this afternoon. You can find the Nets at -3 via Bet365, despite the model believing the Nets will win by four. The value is in the Nets today.

Turnovers Are a Problem For Detroit

The Detroit Pistons have turned the ball over 18.8% of the time. They rarely get to the foul line and have shot just a 53.9% effective field goal percentage.

The only area where the Pistons are above average is on the offensive glass, but the Nets have held opponents to only 26.3% of offensive rebounds. The Pistons don’t look very good analytically heading into this game against the Nets on the offensive end.

The Nets Deserve More Credit

The Brooklyn Nets might be 3-3, but they’re proving to be one of the best offenses in the NBA. The Nets have scored 118.9 points per 100 possessions and have shot a 56.4% effective field goal percentage.

With the Pistons averaging 11.9% of turnovers on defense, the Nets will likely take care of the ball and find the foul line at an average pace. That should be more than enough to get the win by multiple possessions.

The Pick

Let’s ride with the Nets at home at -3. Brooklyn has already played above expectations and will continue this kind of play against poor teams like the Pistons.

NBA Pick: Nets -3 (-110) at Bet365


Atlanta Hawks vs. New Orleans Pelicans

Sunday, November 03, 2024 – 07:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center


Our AI Model has the Pelicans adding a 116-114 win over the Hawks. However, the Hawks are +4.5 at Bet365, giving them a slight value per the AI Model. The best bet is taking the Hawks on the road against the spread.

Atlanta’s An Average Offense

The Atlanta Hawks’ offense is average, but it should be good enough to cover a 4.5-point spread.

Atlanta has shot an effective field goal percentage of 54.5%, while the Pelicans have allowed a 55% effective field goal percentage. We can still expect the Hawks to shoot at a high percentage from the field.

The Hawks might not see the foul line as much as they’re used to, but again, the high-quality shots should go down at a better rate than usual.

Don’t Trust New Orleans

The New Orleans Pelicans should add a bunch of second chances. But that’s also because of all the misses they’ll have.

The Pelicans have shot a 51.7% effective field goal percentage and have also turned the ball over 14.8% of the time.

The Hawks should limit the damage from the field and will likely win the turnover battle in this one.

The Pick

I’m with the AI model. Take the Hawks at +4.5.

NBA Pick: Hawks +4.5 (-110) at Bet365


Orlando Magic vs. Dallas Mavericks

Sunday, November 03, 2024 – 07:30 PM ET at American Airlines Center


The AI Model thinks Dallas will earn an eight-point victory, 115-107. However, the Mavericks are -7.5 at Bet365 at this time. There’s enough value on Dallas to take them against the spread tonight.

Orlando Won’t Find Good Shots

The Orlando Magic have only scored 111.6 points per 100 possessions. That’s just 20th in the NBA.

The Magic have grabbed only 25.5% of offensive rebounds and have shot a 53.2% effective field goal percentage. There’s a chance that the Magic add more offensive rebounds, but without Paolo Banchero, who is out for at least a month, it’ll be hard for the Magic to find consistency on offense as a whole.

Dallas Takes Care Of The Ball

The Mavericks aren’t the best offense, either. However, they’ve got two of the best scorers in the game and have turned the ball over just 10.5% of the time this season. With very few turnovers, the Mavericks will get plenty of shots off. Even if the shots don’t go in, they’ll likely take way more attempts than Orlando. The more attempts, the better.

The Pick

Let’s grab the Mavericks at home at -7.5.

NBA Pick: Mavericks -7.5 (-110) at Bet365

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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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