Although this isn’t the most glorious matchup on paper for Thursday Night Football, it is a rivalry showdown in the NFC East. And whether you have a dog in the fight or not, NFC East football is almost always worth watching. This is an especially crucial contest, too, because both the Dallas Cowboys and the New York Giants head into Week 4 with 1-2 records. If it’s not yet deseperation time, it’s close.
Here is my Same Game Parlay for the festivities, which get underway at 8:15 pm ET on Prime Video. Also be sure to check out our full Cowboys vs Giants predictions.
Over 45.5 (-105)
Wan’Dale Robinson to record 50+ receiving yards (+200)
Wan’Dale Robinson to score a touchdown (+390)
Parlay odds: +1043
Part of the value in a Same Game Parlay, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. That is the entire plan here, as New York wide receiver Wan’Dale Robinson going off would obviously work well with Over 45.5 cashing. Let’s break down each of the 3 legs.
At the same time, plays that aren’t correlated drive up the overall payout of the parlay. That is the case with backing Steelers receiver Diontae Johnson to rack up his fair share of receiving yards. But even if he does, there is no reason why the Bengals can’t take care of business.
Over 45.5 (-105)
Two consecutive games represent a large enough sample size to lose faith in the Dallas defense. DC Mike Zimmer’s unit looks completely lost and it has spilled over into the locker room, complete with finger pointing – albeit of the indirect variety. The Cowboys rank dead last league wide in every rushing-defense category that matters and they allow 29.7 ppg (third worst in the NFL). As for the Giants’ defense, it looked much improved in Week 3 – but that was against Deshaun Watson and an inept Cleveland Browns entourage. It’s unlikely that the G-Men will contain a Dallas offense that is #1 in the NFL in pass attempts per game (41). Dak Prescott certainly isn’t afraid to sling it around and he has 2 great weapons at his disposal in the form of CeeDee Lamb and Jake Ferguson. Expect points aplenty.
Wan’Dale Robinson to record 50+ receiving yards (+200)
There is no secret as to how Dallas plans to go about attacking this contest from a defensive standpoint. It is going to stack the box and make New York move the ball through the air behind much-maligned quarterback Daniel Jones. And to whom will the Cowboys force Jones to target? Anyone but Malik Nabers! The Cowboys’ defense stinks, so it can’t stop everyone – but it will do everything in its power to stop Nabers. That means Robinson should be in line for a huge performance. The 2022 second-round draft pick out of Kentucky is second on the team in receptions (15), second in targets (27) and second in receiving yards (123). He is coming of his best game of the season – 7 catches on 8 targets for 61 yards against Cleveland.
Wan’Dale Robinson to score a touchdown (+390)
Robinson has a great chance to find the endzone, too. He has already scored once this year (Week 2 against the Washington Commanders) and can certainly victimize another NFC East opponent in Dallas. The Cowboys’ pass defense is in the middle of the pack in terms of yards and touchdowns allowed, so it is far from special. For all the criticism Jones gets, he has tossed 4 touchdown passes and zero interceptions over the past 2 outings. At +390, Robinson has stellar value to deliver a TD.