In this article we will formulate a Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, August 1st at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.
Tigers Momentum has Faded Away
The Detroit Tigers are 52-57 this year and they have lost three games in a row. Detroit is coming off of a series loss against Cleveland, where they lost both games by scores of 8-4 and 5-0. Prior to that series, the Tigers lost two out of three against the Twins, split four games with the Guardians, and won two out of three against the Blue Jays. Detroit is 3-7 in their last ten games and they are fourth in the AL Central.
The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .243 opponent batting average. The Tigers offense has scored 459 runs with a .231 batting average and a .296 on base percentage. Colt Keith is batting .255 with 11 home runs and 41 RBI’s for the Tigers this season. Detroit has allowed at least five runs in four of their last five games.
Royals Looking for Fourth Straight Win
The Kansas City Royals are 60-49 this season and they have won three games in a row. Kansas City is coming off of a series win against the White Sox, where they won all three games by scores of 8-5, 4-3, and 10-3. Prior to that series, the Royals lost two out of three against the Cubs, lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks, and swept the White Sox in three games. Kansas City is 8-4 in their last 12 games and they are tied for second in the AL Central.
The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.80 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .243 opponent batting average. The Royals offense has scored 512 runs with a .252 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Bobby Witt is batting .349 with 19 home runs and 76 RBI’s for the Royals this season. Kansas City has allowed at least five runs in five of their last eight games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Keider Montero, who is 1-4 with a 6.38 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP over 36.2 innings pitched this year. Montero has allowed five earned runs in each of his last three starts. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Seth Lugo, who is 12-5 with a 2.66 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 142.1 innings pitched this season. Lugo has allowed five earned runs or more in two of his last three starts.
Why the Royals will beat the Tigers
- The Royals have won each of their last nine night games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Tigers have lost four of their last five night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against the Royals following a loss.
- The road team has covered the run line in 11 of the Tigers’ last 12 games.
- The Tigers have lost the first inning in each of their last three night games against AL Central opponents.
- The Royals have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven night games against the Tigers.
- The Royals have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against the Tigers.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Tigers’ last nine night games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Royals’ last eight games as favorites against the Tigers have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last seven night games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last six night games at Comerica Park.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Andy Ibanez has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances against the Royals.
- Matt Vierling has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Colt Keith has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last 10 night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances with the Tigers as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine Thursday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
- Javier Baez has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts
- MJ Melendez has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in night games.
- MJ Melendez has recorded at least one Double in each of his last five Thursday appearances against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Royals’ last five night games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Seth Lugo has recorded a win in eight of his last nine appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Bobby Witt Jr. has scored at least one run in each of the Royals’ last 11 games as favorites against AL opponents.
- Seth Lugo has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight road appearances against AL opponents.
- Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of the Royals’ last 10 games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Hunter Renfroe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Maikel Garcia has recorded at least one total base in 12 of his last 13 appearances against the Tigers after playing the previous day.
- Bobby Witt Jr. ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.349) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Detroit Tigers rank 1st in the league for triples this season (33).
- The Detroit Tigers rank 28th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.296).
- The Kansas City Royals rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (729).
- The Kansas City Royals rank T2nd in the league for triples this season (27).
Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals Prediction
Kansas City was able to sweep the White Sox in their last series and they are now tied with the Twins for second in the AL Central. Kansas City is 24-27 on the road, while Detroit is just 25-28 at home. The Tigers had plenty of momentum about a week ago, but that has quickly faded and their pitching staff is less than impressive right now. The Tigers are starting Keider Montero, who has been shelled in his last three starts. The Royals will turn to Seth Lugo, who has had some recent issues, but should be able to handle this Tigers offense. My Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals prediction is for the Royals to win by at least two runs.