The Houston Astros and the Seattle Mariners square off Thursday in MLB action from T-Mobile Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Houston Astros will send out Spencer Arrighetti here and Arrighetti is 2-5 with a 6.93 ERA and 43 strikeouts this season. This will be Arrighetti’s first career start against the Mariners. The Seattle Mariners will name Logan Gilbert as the starter here and Gilbert is 3-2 with a 3.06 ERA and 66 strikeouts this season.
Houston Astros Recap
The Houston Astros come into this one looking to bounce back from a 2-1 loss at the hands of the Mariners in Wednesday’s matchup, meaning the Astros will take the series loss and fail to build on the series win over the Oakland A’s from this past weekend.
Astros Back To Struggling At The Plate
Jose Altuve has 67 hits and a .293 batting average with 9 home runs, 20 RBIs and 11 doubles while Kyle Tucker has a team-high 18 homers with 11 doubles and 39 RBIs. Yordan Alvarez also has 9 homers with 22 RBIs while Tucker has the Astros’ team lead with 9 stolen bases so far this season. Jeremy Pena also has a team-high 67 hits and a .307 batting average as well this season.
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The underdogs have won four of the last five games between the Astros and Mariners.
- The Mariners have lost each of their last five day games after going to extra innings.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five day games after going to extra innings.
- The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last six Thursday games as road underdogs.
- The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against American League opponents.
- The Astros have led after 5 innings in eight of their last 11 games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
Seattle Mariners Recap
The Seattle Mariners will look to complete the four-game sweep of the Astros after their win in extra innings on Wednesday. The series win will have the Mariners bounce back from their series loss at the hands of the Nationals over the weekend.
Mariners Starting To Heat Up At The Dish
Julio Rodriguez leads the Mariners with 56 hits including a .260 batting average and also has 5 doubles. Cal Raleigh has a team-high 11 home runs along with 28 RBIs while Jorge Polanco has 5 home runs with 14 RBIs and a team-high 65 strikeouts. Mitch Haniger also has 6 home runs and 23 RBIs while Rodriguez has a team-high 11 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- The Mariners have won each of their last nine Thursday games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Astros have lost each of their last five games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last nine day games against the Astros following a win.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight day games against the Mariners following a loss.
- The Mariners have led after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against AL West opponents.
- The Mariners have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against the Astros.
Astros vs. Mariners Prediction
I’m on the Mariners here. I get why the Astros could be worth a look in a lot of spots, but this for me is not one of them. The Mariners clearly have the Astros number in my opinion and Arrighetti just has not looked comfortable as a starter at the major league level this season. Gilbert’s owned the Mariners going back a little while now, and I think he finds a way to get it done once again. Give me the Mariners in this one.